Mortgage Rate Movements 4/16/05 - 7/26/05

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Mortgage Rates Movement - Describes what is happening in the Mortgage Rate Market.

Current Best Mortgage Rate Info

Mortgage Rate Info from 4/16/05 - 7/26/05

DATE

Mortgage Rates Information

7/26/05

6:46 pm. The yield on the ten year T-bill dropped slightly today. Due mostly in part to shocking consumer confidence numbers. The economic numbers recently have been strong including new home sales and consumer good purchases. That data is why it was a surprise  to the  market that consumers are concerned over prices and the economy. It appears mortgage rates will hold strong for the time being and not go down. The traders will wait for more data at the end of the week to determine what the mortgage rate market should do.


7/14/05

4:15 pm. After last weeks jobless claims rise, retail sales rose today. With higher retail sales there is fear that the FED will think inflation is rising. inflation on the rise then rates will go higher.


7/6/05

3:14 pm. The ten year 10 bill's yield is soaring high. Expect rates to go up! Oil prices have raged higher on expectations of weak supply and high demand over the upcoming winter. Higher numbers show and increase in supply and service area jobs.


7/4/05

12:58 pm. Have a Happy, Healthy and Safe 4 of July weekend! From all the loan officers that help with Marylandlending.com


6/30/05

12:07 am. The ten year T-bills' yield had been retreating over the past few days. Mostly on concerns over the economy and high oil prices. today the yield s have begun to move up as the traders have begun to expect that the FED chair will again raise rates.


6/26/05

9:56 pm. Expect concerns over oil price to stay in the minds of market traders. There may be a rebound in the morning on stocks after last weeks fast downturn. Midday market movements should determine how mortgage rates will move this week.


6/22/05

10:59 pm. Oil prices rise again but the rate markets are watching global growth. With numbers today showing that not only the economy at home slowing but international economic numbers are slumping too. On this data, speculators believe that market and mortgage rates will have to stay low because the FED will have to stop raising rates. Expect the Mortgage rates to adjust tomorrow after today's data.


6/20/05

3:41 pm. Oil prices, once again, surge higher. It is hard to believe how high oil has moved in such a short span of time. It appears that the suppliers are having difficulty keeping up with production demands. The ten year T-bill seems to be ignoring the surging oil prices and it is pricing downward pushing the yield and along with that, mortgage rates, higher.


6/16/05

5:04 pm. Oil price per barrel is up and housing starts are down. The Mortgage Rate market has been going up and moving fast. Mostly on fears of the FED trying to continue in the path of raising rates.


6/10/05

1:26 pm. The trade deficit widen , mostly led by imports. The widening appears to be  less than expected but mortgage rates went up! The change in rates appears to be based less on the imports and more on speculations about the Fed's Chairs next move. After this weeks statement that the economy appears to be on 'firm footing' the markets expect the Fed to continue on the path or raising rates. .


6/9/05

1:24 am. The markets have been a roller coaster of movement over the past week. The rates shot down on Monday because of the news that the FED may not be raising rates. On Tuesday the market recovered after major companies stated restructuring and therefore increases where made in stocks causing the bond price to go down. Since then the T-Bill has recovered and rates have stabilized between Monday's lows and Tuesday's highs.


6/2/05

11:12 am. The question has been.. What happen yesterday to the Ten Year T-bill? The ten year T-bill had a dramatic price surge and yield drop. The drop was almost .10 percent. Not sure what is going on? or How does that affects your search for the best mortgage rate. O.K.

 Lets translate what happened.

Over about the past year the FED chairman has been regularly raising the fed's fund rates at a quarter point interval. This has been what has moved mortgage rates up steadily. Most bond traders and mortgage rate watchers expected to see this rates raising to continue until the FED's fund rate was within the 4.5% range. At that range the mortgage rates would be in the 7% to 8% range.

But yesterday, on a popular cable market news channel, One of the FED's board members stated that  the FED's policies of raising rates was in the ' 8th inning'  which infers that the rate hikes are almost over. This would mean about 1% lower than expected. So the markets reacted fast. Rates went down. In all likelihood the markets will rebound and rates will adjust up.


5/31/05

9:44 am. Memorial Day Weekend is over and traders open the market down. The price on the ten year T-bill is up and yield is moving down. Expect rates to stay at there recent lows until the stock markets surge higher. Mounting fears over weak sales and oil prices may be hampering the markets. Mortgage rates appear to be holding.


5/29/05

Mortgage rate markets closed. Happy Memorial Day Weekend!


5/25/05

11:46 pm. U.S. oil inventory is slumping. Worries of oil supply have been edging into the market for more than several days now. The markets have not responded well to the troubling oil data and price per barrel has gone up! The Government is unable to do anything to help lower the prices and the markets are fearful. This would normally be good news for mortgage rates but the markets are not reacting positive. Above all this data on oil the mortgage rate market is scared of the Fed chairs continuing desire to raise rates. So mortgage rates will move up on these fears.


5/24/05

9:56 am. The price of treasuries are rising as the market watchers are reviewing the FED's notes. This price rise has been on for the last several days. As stated before, The price of the bond goes up the yield goes down. As the yield goes down mortgage rates will follow downward. Expect lower rates on weak economic data. Weal data will result in the markets belief that inflation is held in check!


5/21/05

9:54 am. This past week was a mix bag of data on the mortgage rate markets. Friday ended the week with some interesting data from the FED chair. He stated that the housing boom may be unsustainable. The housing boom is what has keep the economy moving when everything else has stopped. The market is fearful of the looming possibility that housing starts slow and mortgage interest rates go up. Rates have held steady this week after a short surge higher.


5/17/05

2:10 pm. Industrial production slows as producers costs are on the rise. It may be the higher cost of oil which places expenses across the markets. The bond looks at this as a slip in the economy and it appears the FED may ease off of the raising rate trend.


5/11/05

11:54 am. The trade deficit narrowed last month and the dollar gained strength. The newly acquired strength is drawing investors to the bonds and allowing them to raise their prices while lowering their yields. As the dollar shows strength expect a short term rate easing.


5/9/05

11:54 am. After last weeks tumble of the stock markets, they open this week with a  surge. Strong statements by corporations have spurred on trading and the markets look ready to rise. Expect the ten year T- bill's yield to move higher and push mortgage rates up!


5/8/05

Mortgage rate markets closed. Happy Mother's Day!


5/5/05

11:27 am. The slowing economic numbers have forced employers to cut back on hours that employees can work. This will save money for the companies. It also forces the employee to be more productive in the shorten work hours. This is a positive for the employer but can weaken the low mortgage rate markets.


5/3/05

2:20 pm. Mortgage rate traders are looking at the FED Reserve today. They have raised the RATES A .25%. Also, they have left the language that the raising will occur at a "measured pace". So traders will expect a consistent raising of rates over the next FED meetings. The day will tell about how the markets will react.


5/2/05

11:44 am. Oil prices have eased to around the $50, this has eased some concerns of the markets. As oil prices have gone down the stock markets are going higher. Interesting note, is that last months manufacturing orders where down. This shows that retailers are either well stocked with inventory or expect consumers to slow their pace of purchase. Either way, the mortgage rate traders are looking at the FED to adjust rates up a .25% and then to ease raising after that adjustment. So the market for mortgage rates are holding on the economic news but traders are trying to push rates up in the expectation of the FED movement.


4/29/05

1:18 pm. Consumer spending rose in March. Along with the raise in spending, incomes increased. The markets expected a stagnant growth scenario. So this is positive data for the economy. Maybe, not so positive for mortgage rates. Usually, when income and spending rises inflation follows. As stated many times before, Inflation will equal higher mortgage rates.


4/28/05

10:52 am. U.S. GDP numbers are in and they show a slowing economy. Inventories are high and consumer is spending less. Be aware that inflation is on the rise. Usually this push mortgage rates higher, but the weak economic news has held the markets in check.


4/26/05

2:14 pm. Consumer confidence is down. This usually results in the lowering of rates by the markets. But, hold on. Sales of homes, surprisingly, went up!. This leaves the markets to assume that the increase in sales means that consumers, although less confident, are still spending and will keep the economy moving forward. Expect mortgage rates to inch higher.


4/24/05

1:54 pm. The bonds yield close down on Friday after several days of going higher. This movement was spurred on by slowing in consumer spending. As stated many times last year, consumers have held this economy together. If the consumer begins to spend less, expect the economy to be in trouble. As the numbers on consumer expenditures go down, expect mortgage rate markets to more with them.


4/21/05

6:44 pm. The stock markets are on the rise today. Earnings reports are in and the market has digested them. The ten year T bill is moving down and its' yield is sky rocketing up. Expect rates to move. They will go up fast.


4/20/05

10:24 am. The economic data, Till today, was looking great for low mortgage rate wishers. But the most dreaded word, associated with higher mortgage rates, was surging across the markets this morning, INFLATION. The core prices consumers pay for goods has unexpectedly risen. The mortgage rates will follow that path and will rise until inflation is proven to be over stated.


4/19/05

11:09 am. Prices have risen but less than expected. This is key for the future of mortgage rates. If the prices rose faster, or as expected, Mortgage rates may surged higher. But since the price reports show the numbers are lower than expected, the fear of inflation is easing. Some speculators believe the FED may be done raising rates for the near future. Expect mortgage rates to ease on this recent pricing data.


4/18/05

11:59 am. The U.S. markets are still losing value. Earnings from major companies are down. Expect mortgage rates to hold at their current lower rates. The rates had been trending upwards until last week. They are in a holding pattern while more economic data rolls in!


4/17/05

Mortgage rate markets closed.


4/16/05

Mortgage rate markets closed.


 

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