Mortgage Rate Movements 12/23/05 - 7/09/06

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Mortgage Rates Movement - Describes what is happening in the Mortgage Rate Market.

Mortgage Rate Info from12/23/05 - 7/09/06

DATE

Mortgage Rates Information

 

 

7/9/06

10:22 pm. The Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments may have finally showed the results that they where intending to achieve. The earnings reports from several large U.S. companies where less than expected and job growth slowed (although not desired)  and was less than expected. This shows that the rate hikes have slowed the economic growth and may have held inflation in check. The real key has also been the higher energy prices. They also placed brakes on the economy. Rates have moved up but many speculators seem to think that the Fed is done raising rates since this most recent data has shown the economy slowing (but that is just speculation).

 

6/29/06

4:01 pm. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates another .25%. Expect mortgage rates to move upwards as the Fed continues to try and slow the home sale markets and ward off inflation. This interest rate raise will most likely affect those that have adjustable rate mortgages and equity lines/loans. Those loan types will have higher payments in the near future.

 

6/14/06

1:31 pm. The core inflation rate is up .4%. The stock markets have been in decline for over a week and there is all the reason to expect the Federal Reserve to increase rates. This data would seem mixed but it is pretty clear that the recent drop in rates, which was just a real short term small slope, is over and rates will go up in  order to avoid inflation.

 

5/24/06

4:55 pm. New home sales are surprisingly up, however, home prices are dropping. The markets have been unstable recently because of worries that the consumer may be slowing spending. This slowing may be caused by high energy prices. But with this recent home sales data, fears that inflation is on the rise are showing up in the markets. Mortgage rates may go higher as trader fear the FED will once again raise interest rates.

 

5/5/06

12:48 am. The economic data from April may have cleared up some economic questions that have been hovering around for several months. Jobs where added last month but not as many as expected. This is actually strong data for mortgage rates. It shows that the economy is growing yet it is held in check and not growing too fast. This may mean that the Federal Reserve may not raise rates. Stocks have started the month surging higher which may be why rates have not dropped fast. If the economy stays strong and the markets slow down then rates may dip.

 

4/21/06

12:48 am. Oil prices are surging higher. Higher prices usually equal less money in the pockets of the consumer. This may slow the economy over the summer. A slower economy will help to control some factors that would led the Federal Reserve to raise rates. But don’t expect mortgage rates to go down. Mortgage rates should stay high as long as fears of inflation are around and traders are worried about the direction of the economy.

 

4/15/06

3:45 pm. For the last four weeks the dollar has been gaining strength. This is good news for the American markets but bad news for those whom are waiting for rates to go down. A strong dollar will lead to fears of inflations and a belief that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise rates. Expect mortgage rates to keep trending higher.

 

3/28/06

2:24 pm. The Federal Funds rate has been raised by .25%. Expect rates on mortgages to move upwards. The inflationary factors seem to be on the rise even though new home sales have slowed and prices have stopped rising. The new Fed chairman appears to be staying with the similar formulas of rate adjustments that the previous chairman used. So rates should be trending higher.

 

3/10/06

11:48 am. Mortgage Rates Have Been Rising. Expect rates to keep moving up as they hit a three year high. More jobs have been added to the economy and incomes have grown. The housing market appears to be slowing. With Oil prices rising and inflationary factors looming the Federal Reserve looks poised to raise rates at their next meeting.

 

2/28/06

3:46 pm. The markets have had a great gains this month but they are ending it on a down note. The Federal Reserve has seen some data that shows inflation may be on the rise. New home sales are down and sales of resale homes are also down about 3%. Along with that data consumer confidence is down. Rates may dip in the short run but most likely will hold steady.

 

2/1/06

12:32 pm. The Federal Reserve chairman has retired. A new chairman has been sworn in and the last meeting under Greenspan's leadership the Fed raised rates .25%. The meeting notes seem to state that the Fed will not be raising rates unless the markets show inflation factors. However, with a new chairman onboard the markets are wondering how the Reserve will move. Expect some bumpy trends in the rate markets as mortgage traders try to read the Federal Reserves' actions.

 

1/19/06

4:45 pm. After several days of the markets slumping the stocks have made a comeback. Fear of inflation is on the rise. This means that speculators are under the belief that the Federal Reserve may not stop the interest rate raising trend of recent history. Most had thought  that the raises where over but with inflation fears on the rise, home sales down, valuations of properties dropping many believe the Fed's will be forced to raise rates again. Currently the markets are holding but mortgage rates may be at their lows. Expect the rates to move up as inflation fears grow.

 

1/9/06

11:12 am. Is the Housing Boom Over? That seems to be what the markets are believing. It has put some ease on mortgage rates. Mostly the ease has arisen in the belief that since the housing market has dipped the consumer will slow their spending habits. The logic being the slower the spending rate the less inflation and then there is no need for the FEDERAL RESERVE to raise rates. Atleast that is the basic logic driving rates down. Along with the slower hosing data the economy added jobs. The only problem was that it added less than half of what was expected. That may also show a slowing economy. Expect mortgage rates to hold and maybe even dip.

 

1/4/06

1:22 pm. The Federal Reserve's notes appear to state that they have come to the end of the rate raising trend. Although, it appears to state that they will be watching the markets carefully and will adjust the rates as needed.  In the markets, factory orders are up for the second month in a row. Further, the dollar has dropped in value against the euro. All in all the data, in regard to mortgage rates, is mixed. There for, rates should hold steady pending further employment and retail sales reports.

 

12/28/05

11:15 am. Consumer confidence is unexpectedly higher. Rates are holding stable. Be aware that mortgage applications for the previous week are the lowest in the last three years. This may have been a result of the holidays but some speculators are worried that it may be a result of a down turn in the economy. More worries have been formed because of trading actions yesterday, for a short period over the last several days there has been an inversion of yields on the treasury bonds. This means that the yield for a short termed bonds were briefly higher than the yields on a longer termed bond. It has been over five years since this has happened and it is usually a signal of mortgage rates moving and a weakened economy.

 

12/23/05

8:52 pm. After last weeks interest rate raise by the Federal Reserve, many thought mortgage rates would soar higher. However, rates have been held in check mainly because of the markets feeling that the Fed maybe done raising rates. There is also string economic data showing that new home sales are up, resale's are down, the economy is growing but at a measured paced, so all this information is keeping inflation in check. As long as inflation is held low, mortgage rates will stay reasonable.

 

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