Mortgage Rate Movements 10/15/04 -10/31/04

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Mortgage Rates Movement - Describes what is happening in the Mortgage Rate Market.

Current Best Mortgage Rate Info

Mortgage Rate Info from - 10/15/04 -10/31/04

DATE

Mortgage Rates Information

 

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10/31/04

Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

10/30/04

Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

 

 

10/28/04

9:21 am Yesterday afternoon the mortgage rates surged upward. The bond yield rose over .11 points. Extremely high for recent days. This was lead by good sales in the last quarters by some major companies. But today's data on jobless claims show that last weeks jobless claims were up by 20,000 more than expected. We have to wait and see about today's mortgage rates movements.

 

 

10/27/04

9:47 am Some are trumpeting the durable goods orders that are in - up 0.2%. However, the commerce department was looking for a number that would be up 0.6%. This equates to order estimates over the next 3 years being down. Investor may look at this as a downward (slowing) of the economy. This may push back mortgage rate movements from yesterdays mid to late day rally.

 

 

10/25/04

8:37 am Index futures in the markets are down due to the extremely high oil prices .The ten year T-bill should be keep going down in the yield as pressure is place on oil prices. Expect mortgage rates to follow. The adjustment down for rates should be slow but steady as long as the jobs reports does not meet expectations.

 

 

10/24/04

Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

10/23/04

Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

 

 

10/22/04

10:42 am Jobs reports are coming out today and should lead today's mortgage rate market. Mix bag of data so far. Some companies, like MS are showing low revenues and other IT firms like Google are surging on profit reports. All in all Mortgage rates are staying stable today. That should change after the job reports for September arrive.

 

 

10/21/04

9:51 am Jobless claims dropped down to 329,000 for the week ending on the 15th. This should be used by bond traders to show that the economy is moving upwards. Expect mortgage rates to react today by moving up on the good news for jobs.

 

 

10/20/04

9:54 am Telecom companies are coming in today with less than expected earnings. Follow that with the dollar losing strength against the Euro. Mostly because of less foreign investment in the economy. All together, it is placing pressure on the bond and lowering the yield from the earlier week high. Mortgage rates should be steady today but keep in mind the price per barrel of oil is going down around the mid 53 per barrel price. As oil prices ease off highs there is a tendency for the mortgage rate market to rally and rates go up.

 

 

10/19/04

10:22 am The markets yesterday started down and kept moving in that direction. However, midday there was a turn around and the market ended up. The main cause was the belief in the reduction of demand for crude oil. So, although the price per barrel is at record highs the speculators believe the demand for oil use will reduce. ? . This caused the bond market to go up and mortgage rates followed. The interesting data out today is the consumer price index. Prices came in .2% higher that last month. This may stall the mortgage rates from going higher on the short term, but expect the market to ignore the report and rebound in late day trading.

 

 

10/18/04

9:39 am The markets are sitting flat today- so far-. The main factor, barring any surprise data, is the high oil prices. Overnight Asian markets the price of crude oil was over 55 a barrel. An extremely high price. Expect mortgage rates to be held in check as that data moves into the mortgage rate markets.

 

 

10/17/04

Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

10/16/04

Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

 

 

10/15/04

8:47 am Early morning data is rolling in and it is lead by auto sales. This raised the consumer spending on retail sales to a six month high. The markets would usually rally on like data. Most likely we will see the bond advance as the market is looking for any good news to rally on. But with oil prices at record highs the consumer is likely to slow spending. Expect the mortgage rate traders to push rates up today and wait on more of the numbers to begin to come in.

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