Mortgage Rate Movements 10/01/04 -10/14/04

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Mortgage Rates Movement - Describes what is happening in the Mortgage Rate Market.

Current Best Mortgage Rate Info

Mortgage Rate Info from - 10/01/04 -10/14/04

DATE

Mortgage Rates Information

 

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10/14/04

11:45 am Exports of goods from the U.S.. was down on today's reports. Crude Oil prices continue to rise to record prices per barrel. Bank's profits are less than expected and major manufacturers cuts salary and future adding of jobs. All adds up to problems and concerns about the economy. This is pushing the yields down on the bonds and mortgage rates should follow. Expect rates to go lower as this weak economic data rolls in.

 

 

10/13/04

11:17 am The ten year T-bill is sitting flat as of this morning. The easing of crude oil prices this morning are holding the markets in check. The IEA estimate shows that demand for the energy source is slowing in the near future. High oil prices cause a slow down in the economy, almost acting like a rate change. So as prices go up mortgage rates tend to go down and vise versa.

 

 

10/12/04

11:55 am Oil concerns rule the market as the price per barrel adjust upwards of 53 dollars. Tech firms are following with adjustment down for future growth. All spurred on by lower demands in products and higher demand for energy. All are putting pressures on mortgage rates to go down. The ten year T-bill's yield is down this morning and mortgage rates have eased of off there fast raising pace of last week.

 

 

10/11/04

12:41 pm The 10 year T-bill is flat today. As so many times before, the key is mortgage rates rarely move direction without the bond making a move first. The main movement was based on last weeks less than expected new job numbers, The mortgage rates went down a little on the gloomy news. It looks like rate traders are waiting on some more data before the markets make a further move.

 

 

10/10/04

11:58 am Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

10/09/04

11:58 am Markets (mortgage rate) are closed

 

 

10/08/04

11:11 am JOBS JOBS AND JOBS again today. Last month's job's reports came out today and what drove the mortgage rate market higher (yesterday on speculation) did not come true. The speculators yesterday believed that today's job reports would should a grow of new jobs added at 150,000 to 250,00 but the report came out only adding 96,000, Way below the speculators desired mark. Added to that gloomy job report was a revision of last month's report on June jobs. Not only did the mortgage traders expect a raise in last months jobs but also in a revision upwards for June's job reports. It was revised but down by 16,000 jobs. All things considered, the mortgage rate and bond traders were way off and the market is adjusting back down today, rates should reflect this by easing a little.

 

 

10/07/04

11:36 am JOBS JOBS and more JOBS. This is driving the rates today, unemployment claims came in down 35,000 but most traders are betting on tomorrows job reports. The speculators are expecting a growth in jobs added around 150,000 and when the numbers come in, expect mortgage rates to rise and rise fast. The mortgage rate market has already been moving upward and it will only go faster after a great job reports.

 

 

10/06/04

3:09 pm Oil prices hit a record close to 52 dollars a barrel. This is having no effect on the 10 year T-bill. In fact the yield on the 10 year is rising and rising fast. Expect mortgage rates to move upwards.

 

 

10/05/04

12:08 pm The pressure on the bond today has begun to ease off. The mortgage rate market has taken the hit as rates have risen over the last few days. Service jobs employment are lower than expected and there is a raging record high price for oil. All should cause a slow down in the economy. But with that news the 10 year T-bill is sitting flat. This means the traders are more concern that the Fed chair still believes the economy is strong and still wants to raise rates although the market data is not following that notion. Mortgage rate traders are waiting on some key statements from the fed to see whether more rate hikes are in store for interest rates.

 

 

10/04/04

12:33 pm U.S. stocks started off today where they left off on Friday. ON THE RISE. This stock market, buying, is placing much pressure on the 10 year T-bill. The yield is rising rapidly and mortgage rate index's are moving up. Once again mixed data is ending up placing pressure on a rising market. Factory orders unexpectedly declined but economist are placing little importance on this and stating that there is a strong possibility that manufactures and corporation will begin to increase orders as there is a need to replace aging equipment. Oil prices have also eased off of their highs of last week. This easing is a good sign for the economy but will cause mortgage rates to get higher.

 

 

10/03/04

Markets (Mortgage rate) Closed

10/02/04

Markets (Mortgage rate)  Closed

 

 

10/01/04

10:07 am The 10 year T-bill is off and running. The yield is moving up with complete disregard to the stock market. This should keep pushing mortgage rates higher. The bond speculators believe the economy is strong and growing. Expect mortgage rates to go up as the market expects growth in the economy.

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